Two weeks in, what have we learned?

meatloaf-two-outta-three

A new season is upon us, and there have been some pretty surprising developments to say the least. My inaugural post is going to be to help sort things out as to what trends will continue, and what trends will not.

We will start with the teams at the top: San Jose, Colorado, Toronto, and Pittsburgh.

Currently, San Jose is the class of the league by far. They rank first in goals for and second in goals against. I expect this to continue for the foreseeable future. Tomas Hertl is a budding star, and the core of Thornton, Marleau, Pavelski and Boyle remain intact. They also play a solid defensive system, with a proven goaltender in Antii Niemi. The Sharks are good pick when Niemi starts. Even when he is out, the Sharks are still likely to score in bunches, making the over a safe play.

Pittsburgh is similar. There is much scoring talent, and Marc-Andre Fleury is motivated to keep his job as an NHL starter.  They will continue their strong play.

Colorado and Toronto, conversely, are playing over their heads. There simply isn’t enough talent on their rosters’ to remain as strong as they have been thus far. Look for them to fall back to earth in the coming weeks.

There is also much money to be made looking to the middle and bottom of the standings. Detroit, Minnesota and Buffalo are all having difficulty scoring goals. Those teams have played a combined 4 games that have gone over the standard 5.5. The under is a pretty safe play in all of those games, particularly when Miller, Howard, and Harding are playing.

Conversely, the Oilers have not played a game all season where less than 5 goals have been scored. While they are not as bad as their record indicates, when they win, they will have to outscore teams. The over is the general play in Oiler games.

As the season progresses, I will be posting game day picks with lines, usually in bunches of 3. As Meat Loaf once said, “Two out of three ain’t bad.” I would like to thank Winnipeg Whiteout for giving me a forum to post, and look forward to making money with all of you over the course of the season.

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Jon Varga is an elementary school teacher in Las Vegas and lifelong Detroit Red Wings fan. Being a former top 10 bubble hockey athlete, he has a unique view on the game. His picks last season to the Jets Hockey Podcast came in at over 60%...in otherwords, you'd make money. Check out Vargas Vegas Picks regularly to see how you can compete and be sure to follow him on Twitter.